Welcome! This website provides information about my research work.
I currently work for the International Monetary Fund in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department.
Email : gunes.kamber at gmail.com
Research Interests
Monetary Economics, Labor Economics, International Macroeconomics
Research work
Trend-cycle decomposition after COVID, with James Morley and Benjamin Wong, CAMA Working Paper, 2024
Code to implement refined BN filter: MATLAB, R. Website: BNfiltering.com
Is High Debt Constraining Monetary Policy? Evidence from Inflation Expectations, with Luis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos and Olamide Harrison, IMF Working Paper, 2023/143
Negative Interest Rates; Taking Stock of the Experience So Far, with Luis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos and Roland Meeks, IMF Departmental Papers, 2021/3, forthcoming in Annual Economic Review
Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Advanced and Emerging Economies: Same Shocks, Different Outcomes, with Luis Brandao-Marques and Lucyna Gornicka, in Shocks and Capital Flows, edited by Gaston Gelos and Ratna Sahay, IMF, 2023
Global factors and trend inflation, with Benjamin Wong, Journal of International Economics, 122, 2020 Appendix
Have the Driving Forces of Inflation Changed in Advanced and Emerging Market Economies?, with Madhusudan Mohanty and James Morley, BIS Working Paper No. 896, 2020
On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks, with Ricardo Caballero, NBER Working Papers, 26031, 2019
Commodity prices and labour market dynamics in small open economies, with Martin Bodenstein and Christoph Thoenissen, Journal of International Economics, 115, 2018
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter, with James Morley and Benjamin Wong, Review of Economics and Statistics, 100, 2018 [Matlab Code][R code] [Eviews add-in and instructions]
Do interest rates play a major role in monetary policy transmission in China?, with Madhusudan Mohanty, BIS Working Papers, No 714, 2018
News-driven business cycles in small open economies, with Konstantinos Theodoridis and Christoph Thoenissen, Journal of International Economics, 105, 2017
Modelling the Business Cycle of a Small Open Economy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's DSGE model, with Chris McDonald, Nick Sander, Konstantinos Theodoridis, Economic Modelling, 59, 2016
Applying an Inflation Targeting Lens to Macro-prudential Policy Institutions, with Ozer Karagedikli and Christie Smith, International Journal of Central Banking, 11(4), 2015
Financial frictions and the role of investment specific technology shocks in the business cycle, with Christie Smith and Christoph Thoenissen, Economic Modelling, 51, 2015
A note on the business cycle implications of trade in intermediate goods, with Aurélien Eyquem, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 18, 2014
Financial exposure and the international transmission of financial shocks, with Christoph Thoenissen, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 45(s2), 2013
Using estimated models to assess nominal and real rigidities in the United Kingdom with Stephen Millard, International Journal of Central Banking, 8(4), 2012
The financial accelerator and monetary policy rules, with Christoph Thoenissen, Economics Letters, 115(2), 2012
An estimated small open economy model with frictional unemployment, with Julien Albertini and Michael Kirker, Pacific Economic Review, 17(2), 2012
Inflation dynamics under habit formation in hours, Economics Letters, 108(3), 2010
Debt, deficits and inflation on the road to the EU: the case of Turkey, with J.Creel, Revue de l’OFCE, Special Issue “The new EU enlargement”, April, 2004
Other publications
Unconventional Monetary Policy in Emerging Market and Developing Economies, with David Hofman, IMF Special Series on Covid-19, 2020
What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies?, with Madhusudan Mohanty and James Morley, BIS papers, 2020/111
International spill-overs of uncertainty shocks: Evidence from a FAVAR, with Ozer Karagedikli, Michael Ryan and Tugrul Vehbi
Testing an interpretation of core inflation measures in New Zealand, with Benjamin Wong, RBNZ Analytical Notes, 2016/06
The impact of commodity price movements on the New Zealand Economy, with Gabriela Nodari and Benjamin Wong, RBNZ Analytical Notes, 2016/05
Developing a labour utilisation composite index for New Zealand, with Jed Armstrong and Ozer Karagedikli, RBNZ Analytical Notes, 2016/04
A structural forecasting model for New Zealand: NZSIM, with Chris McDonald, Nick Sander, Konstantinos Theodoridis, RBNZ DP, 2015/05
Drying out: Investigating the economic effects of drought in New Zealand, with Chris McDonald and Gael Price, RBNZ Analytical Notes, 2013/02
Understanding Russia's inflation in the post-1998 crisis, with Ritu Basu, Hajime Takizawa and Harm Zebregs. IMF Selected Issues Paper, October 2007
The Turkish Republic and The European Union: A Very Long Engagement, with J. Creel, in Report on the State of the European Union, volume 2, Jean-Paul Fitoussi and Jacques Le Cacheux (ed), 2007.
Past Professional Positions
Bank for International Settlements, Asian Office, 2016-2019
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Modelling Team, 2009-2016
Bank of England, Structural Economic Analysis Division, Summer Ph.D Intern, 2008
International Monetary Fund (IMF), European Department, Winter Ph.D. Intern, 2007
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Intern, Summer 2004
French Economic Observatory (OFCE), Research Department, Intern, Summer 2003
University of Evry, Teaching and Research Assistant, 2007-2009
University Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne, Teaching and Research Assistant, 2004-2007
Science-Po, Lecturer, 2007, 2008 and 2009
Education
Ph.D in Economics, Paris School of Economics, University Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne, 2009
Master of Macroeconomics, University Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne, 2004
Applied Economics, Dauphine University, Erasmus Exchange, 2003
BA in Economics, Galatasaray University, Istanbul,Turkey, 2003
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